Alright, brother, we started this week off with a bang last night, going 3-1. That’s the way to start a football week, baby. Now we have to keep it rolling through the weekend. We’ve got some excellent college action on the slate, starting tonight and we have a lot of games that are putting a smile on my face. Let’s break ‘em down and get ready to win some god damned bets.
Week Five Winners
Duke at Virginia Tech (-2.5, FRI. 7:00pm ET)
Virginia Tech has had a strange beginning to their 2019 campaign. They lose to Boston College, they screwed around with Furman and Old Dominion, and now they face a Duke team, which has beaten some patsies and gotten their doors kicked in by Alabama. So what to make of these teams? Well, VA Tech plays strong defense, the game is at home and they’re off a bye week under the lights. Those things add up to two plays for me tonight in Blacksburg.
THE PICKS: Va Tech -2.5, UNDER 53
Penn State (-6.5, FRI. 8:00pm ET) at Maryland
This is a big Friday night game in the B1G. Both of these teams have had uneven performances. Maryland had back to back games where they put up 60+, then they lose at home to Temple. Penn State had their own massive offensive output, then struggled with Pitt at home. I’m not sure how good either team is here, but I do know that this total is skewed by those massive offensive games, and thus we should be playing the under tonight in College Park.
THE PICK: Under 61
Arizona State at California (-4.5, FRI. 10:30pm ET)
Everyone loves the Cal Bears right now. They went on the road and beat Mississippi in Oxford, and now they face Arizona State who suffered a deflating loss to Colorado last week. People have short memories in sports. They forget how much they loved ASU two weeks ago. They forget that Colorado is a good team. They forget that Cal is getting a little overrated. I think ASU wins this thing, but I’ll take the points to be safe.
THE PICK: ASU +4.5
Middle Tennessee State at Iowa (-23.5, Noon ET)
This game shouldn’t be competitive. The Hawkeyes should win very comfortably. Having said that, Iowa is not a team I am comfortable laying big numbers with, because they could pull the plug on this thing early and stall out offensively. What I do like is the total. I don’t think MTSU scores more than 10 here.
THE PICK: Under 52.5
Mississippi State at Auburn (-10, 7:00pm ET)
Bo Nix has been up and down in his young Auburn career so far. Tommy Stevens, on the other hand, just stinks for Mississippi State. The bottom line here is that the Bulldogs should get bullied by the bigger, stronger, better, Tigers on both sides of the line. I think Nix has his moments and Auburn rolls.
THE PICK: Auburn -10
Louisiana Tech (-9, 7:00pm ET) at Rice
There are few things I enjoy more this season than fading Rice. They are not good, and they continue to be overvalued. Louisiana Tech may not be the greatest team walking the face of planet Earth, but they should comfortably cover this number, even on the road. The last time I watched a Rice home game this season there were literally dozens of people in the stands.
THE PICK: Louisiana Tech -9
Ohio State (-16.5, 7:30pm ET) at Nebraska
The ‘Huskers fans are riled up for this one, brother. They are stoked to have Ohio State coming to town for a game like this. They shouldn’t be. They’re going to get blasted by a far superior Ohio State team. Now, maybe they stay close enough for a dirty, backdoor cover, like we saw with South Carolina against Alabama, or Texas A&M against Clemson. They may play some defense, either way, I don’t think Nebraska scores enough to push this total over.
THE PICK: Under 67.5
UNLV at Wyoming (-9, 8:00pm ET)
I have thoroughly enjoyed betting on the Wyoming Cowboys this season. They suffered a loss last week at Tulsa, but other than that, they have been money this year. This game offers up a few angles for us. First, Wyoming is a considerably better team than UNLV. Second, they are at home in Laramie, which not only offers up the elevation advantage, but there is going to be heavy wind. The forecast calls for winds 25-35mph during game time. That will disrupt the kicking game, and the passing game. Double play here, brother.
THE PICKS: Wyoming -9 AND Under 48
Hawaii at Nevada (-1.5, 10:30pm ET)
As much of a home field advantage as Hawaii has, they have a significant disadvantage when they have to travel to the mainland to play. This game sees Hawaii traveling to Reno to take on the Wolfpack team who beat Purdue to open the year. I think Nevada takes care of business this weekend at home.
THE PICK: Nevada -1.5
Alright, let’s cash these tickets, brother!