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I've been making a killing off PredictIt. Here's a screen shot of my portfolio that was under a grand less than a month ago. I've also withdrawn about 5k from winnings in the past 6-8 months. Now I plan on just building my portfolio up to five figures in a few months and having a massive bank roll so I can just max bet and take easy gains no risk. This site is easy to use if you read the rules of each market, and more importantly easy to make money on, and it's totally legal in all 50 states.
Conversion Chart: Sports Betting Odds to Predict Stock Market Style Shares
Now let's talk about what to bet on for this fucking debate tonight which includes this guy for the first time ever.
Note: You can sell your shares live at any point for profit or for loss prior to these markets resolving. It's a stock market. The five markets for the debate should all resolve by tomorrow morning.
Bet 'NO' on Warren or Pete depending on who give the best return at the time you make your bet. The market had Pete at 90 cents 'NO' a few hours ago and is now 93 cents. You can only make 7-10 cents a share here but it's pretty much a lock Warren, Pete and Klobuchar won't win here.
Bet 'Yes' on Bernie or even better 'NO' on Bloomberg to give yourself more outs at a 36 cents a share profit. This one is tough because it is Bloomberg's first debate and surely he will get called on a lot and get attacked a lot giving him ample time to talk and that is why the market looks the way it does here. However, Bernie won most talking time the last debate, as the frontrunner, and is still the clear front runner to win both the state they are debating in and the nomination, so I still like him here. If you scared then fade me and do the opposite and fade Bernie for basically the same potential gains.
Bet 'NO' on Joe Biden. This one at 82 cents a share gives you an 18 cents profit per share which is not bad. Biden got second most speaking time last debate and is polling second or close to it in the state they are debating in tonight.
Bet 'Yes' on Amy Klobuchar at +186. Klobuchar bested Warren narrowly in speaking time last debate and Warren has been fading in the polls, but Warren has talked more than Klobuchar in every other debate and Klobuchar is polling last out of this group in most Nevada polls. If you want to get really crazy here and don't care about throwing away a little dough to potentially take in a big payday, a 'Yes' on Pete or Bloomberg at 10 and 8 cents looks mighty tasty but I'd advise against it.
Buy 'No' on '3' people to say billionaire. This is an interesting market as it used to be 'millionaire or billionaire' and now it's just 'billionaire.' There's a reason for that though as the king billionaire himself Bloomberg is joining the debate stage for the first time and people are going to come at him calling him an out of touch 'billionaire.' Also the floor is 2 as Bernie and Warren have said 'billionaire' in every single debate (at least 8 so far). Last debate had seven people and '5' hit for this market.
Go with your gut here, but I'd say 'Yes' on either '5' or '6' or just get both. I truly think a lot of people will attack 'billionaire' Bloomberg and Bloomberg will have to defend himself for being a 'billionaire.'
'NO' on '3' or '4' for 7-9 cents a share gain but I hate this market. I don't think anyone has said the phrasing they are judging here in this market so betting 'NO' on anything above '2' is probably safe. It's Bloomberg's first debate and he and Biden might do desperation "I'm the most electable" vs Trump hail mary attempts.
I have absolutely nothing for you here and I'm not even playing this market. Go with God bro.
'NO' on '3' seems like a pretty safe 13 cents a profit share here. Any usage of 'virus' such as 'coronavirus' counts as 'virus' hitting. Remember these markets are all how many candidates say it not how many times it's said.
See my advice for 'electable/electability' value bet. My gut says no one says 'virus.'
For more PredictIt advice and to stay up to date on what's going on in the daily news listen to Hard Factor and check out our live pre debate stream tonight on Periscope at 8:30 EST link will be here right before go live.