Brickyard 400 (4:00 PM) Betting Preview

Drivers who qualified the NASCAR Cup Series playoff pose on the the start/finish line following the Brickyard 400 auto race at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, in Indianapolis Darron Cummings. Shutterstock Images.


As usual for NASCAR, it's going to come down to the big names. Kevin Harvick (4/1), Joey Logano (7/1), Kyle Busch (+550), Denny Hamlin (5/1). 

Logano will start this race 1st and although he has never won here, he does have a great history at Indy. It's hard to ignore Kevin Harvick, who has had more top 5 finishes during this season than not. His top 3 finish odds sit at +110 if you don't want to bet him to win. 

A guy to keep an eye on is Ryan Newman. His odds to finish top 10 are +250. In his last 9 races here he has finished top 12 in 8 of them. 

I usually just dabble in matchups, but if I were to pick the winner, I'd be on Joey Logano +700. 

Joey Logano -135 vs. Chase Elliott: Joey has never won at Indy, but he ranks 3rd in average finish (6.33) since 2017, including a 2nd place finish here last year. Thanks to a random draw, Logano sits on the poll. Elliott hasn't been great at Indy. His average finish (21) over the past 3 races ranks 26th. If you extend that to his last 5 races, his average finish is 19th. 

Clint Bowyer -125 vs. Alex Bowman: Bowman starts 3rd today, but his history at Indy isn't great. Excluding the race where his engine failed in 2015, his 3 races at Indy have started at an average position of 21 while having a finishing position of 31.33. Clint has been a good driver at Indy, over 19 races his finishing position is +4 spots compared to his starting position. 

Ryan Newman -125 vs. Austin Dillon: Indy is Ryan Newman's hometrack and he has finished inside the top 10 in his last 3 races here. If you extend that to his last 9 races, he's finished inside the top 12 8 times. Over 7 races at The Brickyard, Austin Dillon hasn't finished above 9th and has an average finish of 17.86. 

Chris Buescher -125 vs. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has had a really bad go at it at The Brickyard. He's only finished within the top 20 once in his 7 races here. His average finish (28th) is 8 spots worse than his average starting position. To make things worse, he's only had two DNFs. He starts 24th today. Over his 4 races at The Brickyard, Buescher has had a better average finish (15.75) than starting position (21.8). That +6.05 is very impressive. He starts 20th and I expect him to finish in the 12-18 range. 

Other (+1.8 units): 

I don't personally play these, but just in case where you're legally placing wagers doesn't have the matchups. 

Logano 7/1

Ryan Newman +250 top 10

Kevin Harvick +110 top 3