FUCK YES. AFTER THIS WEEKEND, 127 OF THE 130 TEAMS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL ARE BACK.
We made it.
The PAC-12 is back. The MAC is back. INCREDIBLE!
USC is a 10.5 point favorite against Arizona State? Gigantic game coming right out of the gate. USC comes in as the defacto favorite in the South, while Arizona State is the biggest challenger. The big questions for both teams coming into the season are: for Arizona State, does Jayden Daniels take the next step? For USC, is the defense good enough and will much maligned Todd Orlando be the coordinator to do it? Last season this team gave up a lot of points, but behind Kedon Slovis and a great wideout group they put plenty up to. Arizona State will counter defensively with new coordinators Antonio Pierce and Marvin Lewis, yes those guys. The 4-3 defense will thrive and should be even better than last season. Keep in mind the Sun Devils gave up just 3.6 yards per carry and just 23 point points per game. The passing defense welcomes back everyone and offers plenty of depth. Double digits seems high here. In 2019, Arizona State was 4-1 against the number as an underdog.
I had Arkansas plus the healthy number last week against A&M. This week, they are a dog yet again at home to Tennessee. Keep in mind, through five games this season, Arkansas has been an underdog five times and covered all five times. They have done it through creating turnovers and getting a stop or two when they've needed it. But as we saw last week they also have been a bit lucky. Tennessee are losers of three straight against good teams mainly Georgia and Alabama. They are off a bye and looking to right the ship. Looking at Arkansas defensive numbers it seems like the defense is trending downward. Vols need to get going on the offensive side and should welcome this softer opponent.
Kansas is a 37.5 point underdog at Oklahoma. Through six games, the Jayhawks have given up 46 points per game .There is no team in America that has played at least 6 games within five points of that. They have been horrid. Oklahoma has to be licking their chops considering they've scored 49 a game over the last three against much better teams. It's seemingly also been bad for Kansas everywhere else also. They're 0-6 against the spread and have allowed two punt returns for a touchdown, and on kick returns they've allowed two as well. On offense, 16 points a game just isn't good enough. I'm not sure I'd bet the side here, but you have to figure Kansas will give up 50 ish. With an Oklahoma defense that's had its own problems, if Kansas can just get to 14, a feat they have done in all but one game. The over should come in. But to trust Kansas to do anything won't make you any chicken long term.
For Troy, it's another week keeping track of where QB Gunnar Watson is medically. He is quietly one of the better QB's in the country from the Group of Five. The interesting thing is, will it matter if he's out a few more weeks? Backup Jacob Free absolutely torched Arkansas State last week for 419, two TD's a 38-10 win. Fast forward, they get another road game this week against GA Southern. Southern is interesting because they have yet to play a strong passing offense. UL Monroe carved them up and Coastal Carolina won comfortably. Right now, Troy is rolling winning 3 of 4 and this is a big game for two teams in the running for the Sun Belt. Southern wants to run the ball The QB play is spotty with just a 53 percent completion percentage. Troy is giving up just 3.6 yards per carry which is pretty stout. I'm keeping my eye on the Trojans
Good luck and bet responsibly. If you're in PA like me make sure you're betting with the Barstool Sportsbook. There are plenty of exclusive wagers, great promos and tons of action