Great week coming out the gates last week at 4-1. Would have went lossless and nailed a nice 5-teamer if Tennessee’s defense didn’t shit themselves in the 4th against the Giants, but thems the breaks.
Gonna keep it rolling this week. Here are my plays for week 2. Remember to bet responsibly on the Barstool Sportsbook.
Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions -1.5 (48.5)
1pm Eastern- Fox
This is actually more intriguing of a matchup than you might think at first. Both these teams fought their way back into their games last Sunday, with the Commanders being able to come all the way back to snatch a win against the Jaguars.
The biggest matchup to watch for here is the Lions defensive line vs Washington’s offensive front.
Can Washington protect Carson Wentz throughout the game?
On the other side, can Washington slow down the Lion’s surprising run game?
My guess to both of those two questions are no.
Yes, even with All Pro Center Frank Ragnow out, and Jonah Jackson listed as questionable for Detroit.
I think Detroit’s crowd is going to be off the walls today, Washington will shoot itself in the foot a couple times with costly turnovers, and the Lions prevail.
The play = Lions -1.5
- Washington are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Detroit.
- Washington are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Detroit.
- Washington are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
- Detroit are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
- Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home.
Carolina Panthers at New York Giants -2 (43.5)
1pm Eastern- Fox
Another fascinating matchup in this one as two potential comeback players of the year face off in the backfields in McCaffrey and Barkley.
Dontrell Hilliard ate against this Giants linebacker core last weekend so Christian McCaffrey should tear up the G-Men catching passes out of the backfield.
The Panthers injury report looks fairly clean, while the Giants lost starting corner Aaron Robinson (appendix surgery). They have two edge rushers listed as doubtful, and will be shorthanded at receiver.
And New York has elevated corner Fabian Moreau from the practice squad, which doesn't bode well against D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson and Baker Mayfield either.
Unless there’s another near perfect game from Daniel Jones in this one, which I don’t think happens, I like Carolina catching a couple points.
The play = Carolina +2
New York 21
- NY Giants are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles’s Rams -10.5 (46.5)
4:05 Eastern - Fox
The Rams’ weakness, as of right now, is up front along their offensive line. Something Atlanta will no doubt look to exploit in this one but look for McVay to compensate by calling lots of quick hits, screens, and safety valve plays for Stafford to get studs like Kupp the ball with open field to make plays.
Also, where the Rams struggled last week - defending the mobile QB - will be a similar issue this week vs Marcus Mariota. But even if LA’s pass rush still hasn’t shaken off their SB hangover this week, I still like that LA’s corners can tackle, have speed, and can converge on the ball quick. And McVay likes to use them in blitz packages. I don’t see Mariota having a lot of time today, or opportunities to extend plays. Atlanta’s starting RB Damien Williams is also out today with bruised/cracked ribs.
Yes, this line is very disrespectful to Atlanta but I think they’re possibly the worst team in the league and we’re looking at a blowout today.
The play = Rams -10.5
Los Angeles 38
- LA Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.
Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys +7 (41.5)
4:25 Eastern - CBS
Poor Dallas. Said nobody ever.
Their offense was completely helpless last week, and that was with their savor, and franchise QB Dak Prescott under center.
The situation definitely looks bleak with Prescott out at least a month now.
The Cowboys ranked last in the league in EPA per play in Week 1, thanks to a receiving corp devoid of a real threat. Just imagine how backup Cooper Rush will fare today.
For the Bengals, Tee Higgins (concussion) is expected to play, giving Joe Burrow another weapon he needs to bounce back from a five-turnover debacle last week.
Dallas’ defensive backfield is really going to miss safety Jayron Kearse (knee) in this matchup.
I feel a rout coming on in Jerry World today and full fledge panic mode in the Big D come Monday morning.
The play = Bengals -7
- Cincinnati are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
- Cincinnati are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
- Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos -10 (45.5)
4:25 Eastern - CBS
I think this line is kind of nuts.
The public has hammered this line and is still placing Russell Wilson, on a short week, on too high of a pedestal.
Denver had no business spotting Seattle a touchdown at home on Monday, and the healthy spread here with Wilson still getting his feet wet is bonkers and indicative of a ton of public money.
Houston meanwhile comes off a tie with the Colts after impressively building a 20-3 lead. Which they eventually blew. Because, we’ll the Texans gonna Texan.
Houston has gone Under in 11 of their past 15 road games, and a low score favors a double-digit underdog. Denver’s once-vaunted home-field edge has disappeared over the past few seasons believe it or not. (4-5 last season).
I think Houston hangs in this one so take the points.
The play = Texans +10
- Houston are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Denver are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
Good luck everybody and remember to bet responsibly on the Barstool Sportsbook!