Last week I said I was done posting these due to superstition and wanting to stay white hot. But it's Christmas Eve and I'm in the holiday spirit. So I'm back with five plays for Week 16 that I can feel in my plums.
4-1 AGAIN last week.
Washington got fucked by the refs, screwing our 5 team parlay. So let's hit it this week.
Here we go.
Let's keep it hot, and get to this week's plays for Week 16.
Remember to bet responsibly on the Barstool Sportsbook.
N.Y. Giants (8-5, 10-4 ATS) at Minnesota Vikings (11-3, 6-7 ATS) -4 (49)
Here's a matchup of two teams the public has loved hating on (and fading) the past month. And for good reason. The G-men have struggled, but they've had a tough schedule of matchups against fellow NFC East teams during that stretch, and they're 7-2 straight up outside the division.
The Vikings are everybody's favorite team to hate. Their pass defense has been rough, actually, their entire defense has been. They sport the NFL’s worst defense, allowing 399 ypg and average a 25-24 score. Brutal. But I see the Giants putting up a stinker today, and Minnesota riding the wave of momentum Jeff Saturday and co. treated them to in the 2nd half of last week's epic comeback.
THE PLAY = Vikings -4
Houston Texans (1-12, 6-7 ATS) at Tennessee Titans (7-7, 8-5 ATS) -3 (35)
Will Derek Henry have a monster game today, as usual vs Houston? Most likely.
His last 4 against the Texans -
32 rushes, 211 yards, 3 TD, 39.1 FP
22 rushes, 212 yards, 2 TD, 40.4 FP
34 rushes, 250 yards, 2 TD, 35 FP
32 rushes, 219 yards, 2 TD, 35.8 FP
Not too shabby.
But Tennessee is sadly in a free fall. And for some reason, NOBODY respects the job Lovie Smith has done this season with a rag tag group in Houston. They should have beat the lucky as fuck Chiefs straight up. They should have beat the Cowboys the week before that. They kept it close vs. the Eagles. This team is better than people give them credit for.
Don't be shocked if they win outright today.
THE PLAY = Houston +3
Atlanta Falcons (5-9, 8-6 ATS) at Baltimore Ravens (9-5, 6-8 ATS) -7 (35)
The conditions in Baltimore today, (temps and wind) are expected to lead to a low-scoring game. Since that's the case, 7 points is a lot to be spotting the Falcons. Dobbins will probably have a big day (see below), but I think Atlanta can and will keep this one close.
THE PLAY = Falcons +7
(I also like J.K. DOBBINS OVER 56.5 TOTAL RUSHING YARDS -115)
Philadelphia Eagles (13-1, 8-6 ATS) at Dallas Cowboys (10-4, 8-6 ATS) -6 (47.5)
This has been a tough stretch for Philly. Wrapping up a 3 week stretch of away games today in Dallas. With MVP candidate Jalen Hurts sidelined with a shoulder (to be honest, they're probably giving him a week off and erring on the side of caution now that they have so much breathing room more than anything). But I like Minshew today. And I LOVE Philly's defense. Especially against Dak Prescott who has been a pick-machine the last month.
THE PLAY = Eagles +6
Green Bay Packers (6-8, 6-8 ATS) at Miami Dolphins (8-6, 7-7 ATS) -4 (50)
Don't let the recent semi-resurgence of the Packers offense fool you. Despite it not looking atrocious like it did earlier in the season, they have still only topped 250 passing yards just once in a game all year (Week 9 in a game they lost 15-9 in Detroit).
Combine that fact with the fact the Dolphins have allowed more than 20 points at home just once all season, and this has all the makings for a blow out.
THE PLAY = Dolphins -4
Good luck to everybody! Remember to bet responsibly on the Barstool Sportsbook.
LET THE BOY WATCH